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Tuesday, 15 May 2012

"Australian commercial property ‘safe haven’"

Hi Followers

As many of my clients have interest in commercial property I thought I'd share this article:

Investors from Hong Kong, Singapore, Malaysia and China are turning to the Australian commercial property market in search of higher rental returns, according to CommercialAsia.com.

National sales manager for Australia and New Zealand Corey Weekes says Australia’s steady economy and commercial property sector, particularly in the areas connected with the resources boom, offers Asian investors attractive yields to preserve and grow their wealth.

“Region-wide cooling measures for property investment by Asian governments are also driving many Asian investors to explore offshore options like Australia,” Weekes say.

Offshore-based institutions and private investors accounted for 37 per cent of Australia’s commercial sale transactions in 2011.

City sales director with Knight Frank, John Bowie Wilson, adds the number of offshore investors interested in the Australian commercial market is increasing on a daily basis, as prices rise in Singapore and as Hong Kong awaits a currency correction against the US dollar.

“Asian investors are typically capital-rich and have a good understanding of the requirements when investing in Australian property,” Wilson says.

“The recent drop in interest rates is helping local private and institutional investors to return to commercial property investments, however it’s still a challenge for many domestic investors to raise capital.”

This information was gathered from:
http://www.apimagazine.com.au/api-online/news/2012/05/australian-commercial-property-safe-haven

DEB BRADY
0405 570 903

"RBA sets scene for lower rates"

Hi Followers

I came across this article today that I want to share:

THE minutes of the latest monetary policy meeting did not explicitly flag the possibility of another round of interest rate cuts but still left the way open.   
The meeting was held by the board of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on May 1 and ended with a cut in the cash rate to 3.75 per cent from 4.25 per cent.

The minutes spelled out the reasoning behind the move - economic growth and inflation that fell short of the central bank's expectations, the lowered forecasts for both published in the RBA's quarterly report on May 4, and the ongoing risks from Europe.

The minutes show no real sign that the RBA expects those factors to go away all of a sudden.
The forecasts prepared by the RBA, like those in the federal budget last week, are based on the assumption that market expectations for the cash rate are vindicated.

As the minutes noted, those expectations were - when the meeting was held - that cash would fall to 3.25 per cent by the end of 2012.

And the forecasts are consistent with plenty of scope to cut the cash rate.

"The staff assessment was that inflation was likely to remain in the lower half of the (two to three per cent) target range over the foreseeable future, with cost pressures to be contained given the forecast for moderate growth in the economy,'' the RBA said in the minutes.

The risks from abroad are skewed downward.

The RBA said the risks from Europe continued to cloud the world economic outlook and were weighing on market sentiment, which had deteriorated.

"Members noted that the deterioration had not been triggered by any particular event but, rather, it reflected renewed concerns about the inter-related state of public finances and weakness in economic activity in the euro area,'' the RBA said.

In other words, the darker mood was soundly based on fears that fiscal consolidation would retard growth, making it harder for the affected countries to balance their budgets.

In the minutes, the RBA described this as a "negative feedback loop''.

Against this backdrop, it's clear that the RBA has not closed the door on further cuts to the cash rate.
However the minutes did not canvass the possibility explicitly.

Accordingly, the RBA will be inclined to adopt a wait-and-see approach, which has more appeal since there was an unexpected fall in the unemployment rate in April, reported by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on Thursday.

The futures market has currently factored in a cash rate of about 2.75 per cent by the end of 2012.
It's possible, but the minutes suggest that's only likely to happen if the worst fears surrounding Europe are realised.

Barring that, it will be a matter of watching the flow of data to see if the RBA's forecasts again prove to be on the sunny side of reality.
This information was gathered from:
http://www.news.com.au/money/interest-rates/rba-sets-scene-for-lower-rates/story-e6frfmn0-1226356152887

DEB BRADY
0405 570 903

Friday, 11 May 2012

"Understanding negative gearing and positive cash flow"

Hi Followers

Thought I'd share this article , a must read for investors!

Negative gearing is running a property at a loss so that the overall effect of the property on your tax return is a deduction. The tax saving that results can help support the property. If the tax saving is good enough it may even result in the property having a positive cash flow.

For example:


Notice how the property is only cash flow positive if the owner is in the 46.5 per cent tax bracket which, from July 1 2009, means he or she would have to earn more than $180,000 a year.

The more likely tax bracket would be 31.5 per cent. To be in this bracket from July 1, 2009 you would have to earn less than $80,000 a year and more than $34,000. Note, this lower threshold increases over the next few years but the upper threshold is expected to stay the same until 2014.

Buying a property and having $45 a year extra as a result sounds good, doesn't it? Even if you're only in the 31.5 per cent bracket and only have to top the property up to the tune of $1905 per year it's not bad.

So now all you need to do is rush out, buy this property, sit back and wait for it to pay itself off. But let's look at what sort of property would fit the above example.

The special building write-off is quite high. This could be because it was built between July 18, 1985 and September 16, 1987 so it qualifies for a depreciation rate of 4 per cent. But even at this rate it would have to have cost $150,000 to build way back then. Also, if this is the case the property is only entitled to depreciation over 25 years so this claim is about to expire. It's more likely that the 2.5 per cent rate applied, which means the building write-off will last for 40 years after it was constructed (100/2.5).

To qualify for $6000 in building depreciation a year at the 2.5 per cent rate the building must have cost $240,000 to build. Yet the interest of $22,000 in the example could only cover borrowings of $258,823, assuming an 8.5 per cent interest rate.

A substantial deposit would have been necessary to have such a low interest expense and still receive such a high rate of rental return. You see, at a standard rent return on investment of 5 per cent the property would have to be worth $400,000 to receive $20,000 in rent.

Maybe this could have been achieved by buying well and some clever renovations, but if it was achieved because of a large deposit then the $45 per year return is a poor yield on those funds unless there's capital growth.

The key factors to look for in a positive cash flow property are a strong rental return compared with purchase price and a low land value, as land isn't included in the special building depreciation amount. Generally these qualities are found in remote areas where capital growth isn't as good.

A more likely profile is a $300,000 property where $310,000 is borrowed to cover the purchase and associated costs.

{BREAK}
For example:



If the above is typical of properties that are available then it's going to take some real bargain hunting to find a positive cash flow property.

Higher cash flow costs won't improve your cash flow. In fact, if they're not deductible, such as initial repairs, they work against your cash flow.

The two factors that increase your cash flow are higher depreciation (including special building write-off) and a high tax bracket. Higher depreciation as a percentage of the purchase price is achieved by buying a newish property with a low land value, such as a unit or in a remote area, because the special building write-off is based on the original cost to build the property.

Even if you find a property that has a positive cash flow you still want to achieve some capital gains to offset the CGT. CGT will be payable even if you sell for only enough to cover the original purchase price plus buying and selling costs. This is because you're required to reduce your cost base by the amount of building write-off you have claimed.

If you can't find a positive cash flow property you need to make sufficient capital gains to cover the tax on the reduction in your cost base, the cash shortfall each year you own it and the CGT.

(The mystery of how this is calculated was detailed in a two-part report in the January and February 2007 editions of API.)

The first example in this article would require capital growth of 1 per cent per annum (assuming a $400,000 purchase price and large deposit) to break even, but that doesn't take into account the loss of opportunity with the money used for the deposit.

In the second example you'd need capital growth of 4.4 per cent per annum just to break even. This is based on holding the property for five years and assuming you're in the maximum tax bracket both during the time you owned it and when you sell it.

If all else remains the same but you're only in the 31.5 per cent tax bracket during the period of ownership and when you sell then the first example requires capital growth of 1.4 per cent per annum to break even. The second example requires 5.2 per cent per annum.



As discussed, properties that lend themselves to positive cash flow tend to be in areas of low capital growth. Assume nothing and always crunch the numbers so you know exactly what you're asking the property to achieve.

This information was gathered from:
http://apimagazine.com.au/api-online/property-investment-articles/understanding-negative-gearing-and-positive-cash-flow

DEB BRADY
0405 570 903

Wednesday, 9 May 2012

"Actons April sales signal rebound in WA market"

Hi Followers

I thought I'd share an article published on rebonline.com.au

ACTON, a WA-based real estate group, has posted a 49 per cent on-year surge in sales in April, beating the usual Easter slowdown and signalling an improved year ahead.

“Historically our figures fall in April, usually due to Easter and school holidays,” said ACTON managing director Graeme Baxter. “This wasn’t the case this year and it will be very interesting to see the May figures.”

“At this stage I’m feeling very confident about the direction of the market for 2012. There appears to be a good balance between buyers’ and sellers’ attitudes.

“Sellers are now pricing for the market and will consider all genuine offers. Buyers are no longer expecting to get huge price discounts, however they still expect good value for money.”

ACTON’s sales figures were 15.34 per cent higher than the March result, and 49.32 per cent higher than April 2011. ACTON's April result comes shortly after figures released by the Real Estate Institute of WA (REIWA) revealed a jump in activity in the state's property market.

Mr Baxter said last week’s rate cut would support a market that is continuing to show signs of recovery.

“The ACTON Group has had yet another strong month, and that followed small rate rises from the banks in the first few months of the year,” he said.

“The rate cut from the RBA was significant and allowed the banks to pass on a reasonable cut to mortgage holders. We should see the effect of this over the next few months.”

ACTON said that one area that continued to perform well was Mandurah, located 60km south of Perth. “Sales in that region have always been strong, but have been outstanding this year,” the company said. “April was a record month for ACTON Mandurah.”

Other areas also performing strongly include ACTON’s regions in the western suburbs, and prime riverside locations. Trade up buyers were also more active.

While the strong sales turnover is good news and suggests ongoing confidence in the market,

ACTON said sellers needed to remain realistic when it came to pricing.

“More sales do not necessarily mean a jump in prices,” said Mr Baxter.

“There are close to 13,500 properties on the market and buyers still have a lot of choice. Price is the key to selling in a reasonable time frame. If buyers don’t like the price they can, and do, go elsewhere.

“However, if the good sales results continue over the next few months I would definitely expect to see a gradual rise in prices in the second half of the year.”

This information was gathered from:
http://rebonline.com.au/breaking-news/5031-actons-april-sales-signal-rebound-in-wa-market

DEB BRADY
0405 570 903