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Friday, 1 June 2012

"WA Budget indicates robust growth ahead"

Hi Followers

Came across this great article that I wanted to share:

In the 2012-13 Western Australian Government Budget paper handed down almost two weeks ago, a healthy 6.7 per cent growth in property prices has been estimated for the coming financial year, with sustained increases ahead.

The WA Budget paper’s economic forecasts for 2012-13 reports the established house price index to jump from -2.5 per cent annual growth in 2011-12 to a mighty 6.7 per cent for 2012-13, higher than the consumer price index estimate of 3.5 per cent per annum and the wage price index estimate of 4.5 per cent per annum.

The Budget paper also indicates increasing transaction volumes toward a long-run trend. The paper reports an estimated 17.6 per cent growth for transfer duty in 2012-13.

Beyond 2012-13 transfer duty is estimated to be approximately 9.6 per cent per annum, though the paper states these estimates are still lower than the duty raised in 2006-07 and 2007-08.

Rental growth is looking good for WA landlords, with rental vacancy rates continuing to tighten, decreasing to 2008 levels. The Budget reports Perth’s average weekly rent has increased by eight per cent from last year to $400 per week this year.

More WA landlords are likely to receive higher land valuations in 2013-14, a reflection of the pick-up in the housing market in 2012-13; the Valuer General estimates land tax to return to the long-term average of 10 per cent per annum.

When comparing this 10 per cent increase in land tax growth to the 6.7 per cent increase for the established house price index, what this means is a higher proportion of investors compared to owner-occupiers will return to the market because naturally only investors pay the land tax, said Gavin Hegney of Hegney Property Group.

When combining all the Budget paper indicators including the strong labour market, the housing picture it paints is a very bright one, said Hegney. “We’re clearly ahead of the other states in the cycle.

 We have very strong business investment, a strengthening labour market, a lowering unemployment rate and now we’re seeing upper pressure on wages; all that flows through to house price growth.

“Stepping back from the numbers though, people are gaining confidence again in Perth. It looks like we’re in for some robust growth ahead,” Hegney said.

This information was gathered from:

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